Final Emmy Predictions in All Categories: ‘The Bear’ and ‘Shogun’ Expected to Lead for Series; Netflix Will Likely Top for Networks

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Variety‘s Awards Circuit is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year. It features the official predictions for the Oscars, Emmys, Grammys, and Tony Awards, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

Weekly Commentary (Updated: July 11, 2024): The final Emmy picks are below, and we are expecting a great day for “Shogun,” which is projected to lead the charge with 24 noms, followed by its FX counterpart “The Bear” and Prime Video’s “Fallout.”

Nonetheless, by the sheer volume of series and performers, Netflix should have the most nominations of any network.

The Emmy nominations will be announced on July 17. The Creative Arts and Governors Gala ceremonies will occur over two nights on Sept. 7-8. The 76th Primetime Emmy Awards will air on ABC on Sunday, Sept. 15.

Top 5 nomination leaders (series): “Shōgun” (24); “The Bear” (23); “Fallout” (18); “The Crown” (16); “Baby Reindeer” (13)

Top 5 nomination leaders (individual networks): Netflix (123); FX (76); Max (73); Prime Video (38); Apple TV+ (34)

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